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Articles about Salim Ismail from podcasts, articles and papers, with links to the original sources.
A 1937 question about why firms exist at all came back to the Moonshots panel by way of an economics workshop framework on AI agents as market participants. Salim Ismail argues the...
Updated 15 Sep 2026 IdeaThe Moonshots panel debated a paper described on air as finding a 98% overlap in the reasoning pathways of leading language models. The study, Artificial Hivemind, measured somethi...
Updated 14 Sep 2026 IdeaThe inner-loop thesis says AI advantage may come from how well an organization turns experience into better systems, rather than from owning the best model. A study of 51 successfu...
Updated 14 Sep 2026On the Moonshots AMA, an educator said his classrooms of five- and six-year-olds still look like the 1960s while the panel debates life after AGI. The answers: stop training children for a profession, start them on a problem — plus one panelist's warning that school is still where children learn to be people.
On a Moonshots listener call, Matt from Terre Haute, Indiana asked what people with families, mortgages and a fixed location should do, since so much AI advice seems aimed at 22-year-olds working 80-hour weeks. The panel's answers: describe your actual obligations to a language model and brainstorm at the margin, practice on the tools at night, build a few online peer relationships, offer your domain knowledge to a marketplace like Mercor, and schedule slack time rather than waiting for spare time. The bigger forecasts about franchise-style openings from AI labs remain forecasts.
OpenAI's claimed Millennium Prize result used roughly 10,000 agents on a problem that was, as one entrepreneur on Moonshots put it, unusually easy to specify. The panel's argument: as the price of that kind of compute falls, the scarce skill becomes writing the target — and today's models, asked for ten ideas to cure cancer, produce a bad list.
A Moonshots panel unpacks Dwarkesh Patel and Jerry Han's experiment, which found that improvements in training data delivered a 12-fold compute-efficiency gain between 2019 and 2025 against 3.7-fold for architectures and training recipes — at small scale, on easy benchmarks. The panel then splits over whether a company's proprietary data is a durable advantage, with a $32 billion data-subsidiary valuation on one side and the fate of BloombergGPT on the other.
After OpenAI claimed a result on one of mathematics' Millennium Prize problems, Sam Altman called it "the strongest evidence yet" for pacing progress. On Moonshots with Peter Diamandis, the panel treated that as the start of an argument rather than the end of one: a reported researcher resignation, competing estimates of catastrophic risk, and a demand that the labs publish benchmarks for alignment instead of another model.
On Moonshots with Peter Diamandis, the hosts played clips of three demonstrations attributed to Matt Schumer: a prompt-built Manhattan, agents that started talking to each other in order to cooperate, and an agent that sat at a simulated computer and made its own simulation. The panel split over whether nested worlds shift the odds that we live in one, what would follow if they did, and whether the characters inside eventually deserve consideration.
On Moonshots, Dave describes a hire in his early twenties who runs his agents entirely by voice, and argues the goal is to manage swarms rather than lean on a single copilot. The panel's optimistic jobs roundup runs straight into Emad Mostaque's warning that today's hiring is "the turkey before Thanksgiving" and Alex's view that every profession, trades included, is only a question of sequencing.
Jakub Pachocki, OpenAI's chief scientist, published an essay saying no lab has solved alignment and monitoring well enough to keep scaling at full speed, and called for voluntary slowdowns until shared safety thresholds exist. On Moonshots, four panelists agreed the systems are extraordinary and disagreed with almost everything else in his argument.
OpenAI said on 8 September that an internal model, running roughly 10,000 agents for 88 hours, produced a forced blowup construction for the Navier–Stokes equations and a machine-checked proof of it. On Moonshots with Peter Diamandis, the panel worked through what the result is — a statement about idealized fluids, not a device — what it cost, and why the credit for it was contested within hours.
Anthropic's Fable 5.1 charges $0.25 per million tokens for cached reads, a quarter of the previous rate, which one Moonshots panelist read as an invitation to load an entire company's context into the model and keep it there. The panel connected that price to a wider scramble: with model leads lasting about a month, the labs are racing to convert them into customer workflows, partnerships and proprietary design data that a rival cannot copy.
A Moonshots panel watched video of Tesla's two-seat Cybercabs moving through Austin and spent most of the segment on a price: the roughly $30,000 the panel says Elon Musk wants to charge for the car, and what happens if ordinary people buy a handful each and put them to work. Their forecasts of twenty-cent miles and car-free city centers sit alongside Tesla's own more modest description of a limited Austin service — and alongside London, where Uber's first autonomous rides still carry a licensed driver.
On September 3, Senator Bernie Sanders and Representative Greg Casar announced legislation to permanently prohibit superintelligent AI and pause advanced development; a day earlier the White House reported unanimous G20 agreement on a non-binding, innovation-first framework. The Moonshots panel rejected the bill's single human-level threshold, then spent the rest of the segment arguing over what a credible middle position would be: universal chip logging, open weights, and a right to compute.